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U.S. mortgage interest rates made very little movement in May as mixed economic reports kept them from jumping up or down.
May 7
During the first week of the month, long-term 30-year fixed rate mortgages (FRMs) rates rose to 4.84 percent, excluding points, from 4.78 percent the previous week.
"Mortgage rates rose slightly this week amid positive economic news that the economy may be approaching the bottom of the recession," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. "In terms of the household sector, the final April estimate of consumer sentiment...was revised above the market consensus...In addition, the positive news was corroborated by Fed Chairman Bernanke when he stated that he expects economic activity to bottom out, then to turn up later this year. He also noted that the housing market is beginning to stabilize."
The average rate on 15-year FRM loans increased to 4.51 percent from 4.48 percent the week before, while rates on one-year adjustable rate mortgages averaged 4.78 percent, barely up from 4.77 percent a week earlier.
May 14
Rates inched up during the second week as unemployment rates rose, but less jobs were lost in April than in each of the previous five months. The average rate on a 30-year FRM stepped up to 4.86 percent, while 15-year FRM loans averaged 4.52 percent, almost unchanged from the previous week and one-year ARMs rates fell to 4.71 percent.
May 21
The trends reversed themselves in the third week with 30- and 15-year FRM rates falling and ARM rates jumping up as housing market data revealed both ups and downs. The 30-year FRM carried an average rate of 4.82 percent, 15-year FRM rates dropped to 4.50 percent, and one-year ARMs rose to 4.82 percent.
May 28
During the final week of May the 30-year FRM rate rose to 4.91 percent as consumer confidence and single-family home sales climbed upward. The 15-year FRM average rate also increased, up to 4.53 percent. One-year ARM rates dropped, though, to 4.69 percent.
What's Next for Interest Rates?
Not much is expected to change with interest rates in the coming month. There have been predictions from several major sources in recent weeks of an end to the current recession before the year is over, but then again, those type of forecasts were circulating in previous months as well and rates have not been much affected. As the economic recovery is believed to be slow, movement in interest rates will likely be slow as well.
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